@online{clifton-collaborative-game-2021,

title = {Collaborative game specification: arriving at common models in bargaining},

author = {Jesse Clifton},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/collaborative-game-specification/, HTML},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-03-06},

howpublished = {Working paper},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{clifton-weak-identifiability-2021,

title = {Weak identifiability and its consequences in strategic settings},

author = {Jesse Clifton},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/weak-identifiability-and-its-consequences-in-strategic-settings/, HTML},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-02-13},

howpublished = {Working paper},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{clifton-towards-cooperation-in-learning-games,

title = {Towards cooperation in learning games},

author = {Jesse Clifton and Maxime Riché},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/cooperation-conflict-and-transformative-artificial-intelligence-a-research-agenda-3/, PDF},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-10-01},

howpublished = {Working paper},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{martin-overview-TAI-misuse-2024,

title = {Overview and Analysis of Transformative AI Misuse},

author = {Samuel Martin},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/overview-and-analysis-of-transformative-ai-misuse1-11/},

year  = {2024},

date = {2024-10-14},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{clifton-equilibrium-selection-2020,

title = {Equilibrium and prior selection problems in multipolar deployment},

author = {Jesse Clifton},

url = {https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/Tdu3tGT4i24qcLESh/equilibrium-and-prior-selection-problems-in-multipolar-1, Alignment Forum},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-04-02},

howpublished = {AI Alignment Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{kokotajlo-the-commitment-2019,

title = {The "Commitment Races" problem},

author = {Daniel Kokotajlo},

url = {https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/brXr7PJ2W4Na2EW2q/the-commitment-races-problem, URL},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-08-01},

howpublished = {Alignment Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{Althaus2020,

title = {Reducing long-term risks from malevolent actors},

author = {David Althaus and Tobias Baumann},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/reducing-long-term-risks-from-malevolent-actors/, Summary

https://longtermrisk.org/files/Reducing_long_term_risks_from_malevolent_actors.pdf, PDF

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/LpkXtFXdsRd4rG8Kb/reducing-long-term-risks-from-malevolent-actors, EA Forum post},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-04-29},

urldate = {2020-04-29},

howpublished = {Effective Altruism Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{gloor-sequence-moral-anti-realism,

title = {Sequence on moral anti-realism},

author = {Lukas Gloor},

url = {https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TwJb75GtbD4LvGiku/moral-anti-realism-sequence-1-what-is-moral-realism, #1: What Is Moral Realism?

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6nPnqXCaYsmXCtjTk/moral-anti-realism-sequence-2-why-realists-and-anti-realists, #2: Why Realists and Anti-Realists Disagree

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/C2GpA894CfLcTXL2L/moral-anti-realism-sequence-3-against-irreducible, #3: Against Irreducible Normativity

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/G9ASsCfsNghevtghF/moral-anti-realism-sequence-4-why-the-moral-realism-wager-1, #4: Why the Moral Realism Wager Fails

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BYjj4WdrxgPJxMre9/moral-anti-realism-sequence-5-metaethical-fanaticism, #5: Metaethical Fanaticism (Dialogue)},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-06-24},

howpublished = {Effective Altruism Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{gloor--2017,

title = {Tranquilism},

author = {Lukas Gloor},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/tranquilism/, URL},

year  = {2017},

date = {2017-07-01},

howpublished = {CLR Website},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{daniel-bibliography-of-2016,

title = {Bibliography of Suffering-Focused Views},

author = {Max Daniel},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/bibliography-of-suffering-focused-views/, URL},

year  = {2016},

date = {2016-08-01},

howpublished = {CLR Website},

note = {Last update: 2016-08},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{tomasik-should-we-2013,

title = {Should We Base Moral Judgments on Intentions or Outcomes?},

author = {Brian Tomasik},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/should-we-base-moral-judgments-on-intentions-or-outcomes/, URL},

year  = {2013},

date = {2013-07-01},

howpublished = {CLR Website},

note = {Last update: 2013-11-28},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{tomasik-dealing-with-2013,

title = {Dealing with Moral Multiplicity},

author = {Brian Tomasik},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/dealing-with-moral-multiplicity/, URL},

year  = {2013},

date = {2013-12-01},

howpublished = {CLR Website},

note = {Last update: 2017-11-15},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{cook-2022,

title = {Replicating and extending the grabby aliens model},

author = {Tristan Cook},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/replicating-and-extending-the-grabby-aliens-model/, HTML

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7bc54mWtc7BrpZY9e/replicating-and-extending-the-grabby-aliens-model, EA Forum

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iwWjBH2rBF7ExXeEG/replicating-and-extending-the-grabby-aliens-model, LessWrong},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-04-23},

howpublished = {Effective Altruism Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{Cook2022,

title = {The optimal timing of spending on AGI safety work; why we should probably be spending more now},

author = {Tristan Cook and Guillaume Corlouer},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/the-optimal-timing-of-spending-on-agi-safety-work-why-we-should-probably-be-spending-more-now/, HTML

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Ne8ZS6iJJp7EpzztP/the-optimal-timing-of-spending-on-agi-safety-work-why-we, EA Forum},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-11-29},

howpublished = {Effective Altruism Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{kokotajlo-soft-takeoff-2019,

title = {Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage},

author = {Daniel Kokotajlo},

url = {https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/PKy8NuNPknenkDY74/soft-takeoff-can-still-lead-to-decisive-strategic-advantage, URL},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-08-01},

howpublished = {Alignment Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{gloor-rebuttal-of-2019,

title = {Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?},

author = {Lukas Gloor},

url = {https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PzAnWgqvfESgQEvdg/any-rebuttals-of-christiano-and-ai-impacts-on-takeoff-speeds#zFEhTxNqEp3eZbjLZ, URL},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-04-01},

howpublished = {LessWrong},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{gloor-cause-prioritization-2018,

title = {Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems},

author = {Lukas Gloor},

url = {https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/225Aq4P4jFPoWBrb5/cause-prioritization-for-downside-focused-value-systems, URL},

year  = {2018},

date = {2018-01-01},

howpublished = {Effective Altruism Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{althaus-descriptive-population-2018,

title = {Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization},

author = {David Althaus},

url = {https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CmNBmSf6xtMyYhvcs/descriptive-population-ethics-and-its-relevance-for-cause, URL},

year  = {2018},

date = {2018-04-01},

howpublished = {Effective Altruism Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{oesterheld-complications-in-2017,

title = {Complications in evaluating neglectedness},

author = {Caspar Oesterheld},

url = {https://casparoesterheld.com/2017/06/25/complications-in-evaluating-neglectedness/, URL},

year  = {2017},

date = {2017-06-01},

howpublished = {The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{tomasik-how-the-2016,

title = {How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism},

author = {Brian Tomasik},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/how-the-simulation-argument-dampens-future-fanaticism, URL},

year  = {2016},

date = {2016-06-01},

howpublished = {CLR Website},

note = {Last update: 2018-03-15},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{Kokotajlo2021,

title = {What 2026 looks like},

author = {Daniel Kokotajlo},

url = {https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-2026-looks-like, LessWrong},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-08-06},

journal = {LessWrong},

howpublished = {LessWrong},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{Kokotajlo2021b,

title = {Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute},

author = {Daniel Kokotajlo},

url = {https://www.lesswrong.com/s/5Eg2urmQjA4ZNcezy/p/rzqACeBGycZtqCfaX, LessWrong},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-03-01},

howpublished = {LessWrong},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{Kokotajlo2021c,

title = {Birds, Brains, Planes, and AI: Against Appeals to the Complexity/Mysteriousness/Efficiency of the Brain},

author = {Daniel Kokotajlo},

url = {https://www.lesswrong.com/s/5Eg2urmQjA4ZNcezy/p/HhWhaSzQr6xmBki8F, LessWrong},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-01-18},

howpublished = {LessWrong},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{Kokotajlo2020,

title = {Against GDP as a metric for timelines and takeoff speeds},

author = {Daniel Kokotajlo},

url = {https://www.lesswrong.com/s/dZMDxPBZgHzorNDTt/p/aFaKhG86tTrKvtAnT, LessWrong},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-12-29},

howpublished = {LessWrong},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{DiGiovanni-2023,

title = {Beginner’s guide to reducing s-risks},

author = {Anthony DiGiovanni},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/beginners-guide-to-reducing-s-risks/, URL},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-09-05},

howpublished = {CLR Website},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{Kokotajlo2020b,

title = {Persuasion Tools: AI takeover without AGI or agency?},

author = {Daniel Kokotajlo},

url = {https://www.lesswrong.com/s/dZMDxPBZgHzorNDTt/p/qKvn7rxP2mzJbKfcA, LessWrong},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-11-20},

howpublished = {LessWrong},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{Althaus2020b,

title = {Incentivizing forecasting via social media},

author = {David Althaus and Daniel Kokotajlo},

url = {https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/842uRXWoS76wxYG9C/incentivizing-forecasting-via-social-media, Effective Altruism Forum},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-12-16},

howpublished = {Effective Altruism Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{sotala-non-agent-multiagent-models-mind,

title = {Sequence on non-agent and multiagent models of mind},

author = {Kaj Sotala},

url = {https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/M4w2rdYgCKctbADMn/sequence-introduction-non-agent-and-multiagent-models-of, Sequence introduction: non-agent and multiagent models of mind

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/x4n4jcoDP7xh5LWLq/book-summary-consciousness-and-the-brain, Book Summary: Consciousness and the Brain

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5gfqG3Xcopscta3st/building-up-to-an-internal-family-systems-model, Building up to an Internal Family Systems model

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AhcEaqWYpa2NieNsK/subagents-introspective-awareness-and-blending, Subagents; introspective awareness; and blending

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oJwJzeZ6ar2Hr7KAX/subagents-akrasia-and-coherence-in-humans, Subagents; akrasia; and coherence in humans

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hnLutdvjC8kPScPAj/integrating-disagreeing-subagents, Integrating disagreeing subagents},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-01-07},

howpublished = {LessWrong},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{oesterheld-moral-realism-2018,

title = {Moral realism and AI alignment},

author = {Caspar Oesterheld},

url = {https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DRmoA7Nqu85Sbuo7t/moral-realism-and-ai-alignment, URL},

year  = {2018},

date = {2018-09-01},

howpublished = {LessWrong},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{gloor-sufferingfocused-ai-2016,

title = {Suffering-Focused AI Safety: In Favor of “Fail-Safe” Measures},

author = {Lukas Gloor},

url = {https://longtermrisk.org/suffering-focused-ai-safety/, URL 

https://longtermrisk.org/files/fail-safe-ai.pdf, PDF},

year  = {2016},

date = {2016-06-01},

howpublished = {CLR Website},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}

@online{gloor-room-for-2015,

title = {Room for Other Things: How to adjust if EA seems overwhelming},

author = {Lukas Gloor},

url = {https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/4fPxQjq6GFZgurSsf/room-for-other-things-how-to-adjust-if-ea-seems-overwhelming, URL},

year  = {2015},

date = {2015-03-01},

howpublished = {Effective Altruism Forum},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {online}

}