Publications


Cooperation, conflict, and transformative AI

Multi-agent systems

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Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Kokotajlo, Daniel. Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage. Alignment Forum, August 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?. LessWrong, April 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems. Effective Altruism Forum, January 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Althaus, David. Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization. Effective Altruism Forum, April 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Oesterheld, Caspar. Complications in evaluating neglectedness. The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog, June 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Tomasik, Brian. How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism. CLR Website, June 2016.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy

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Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Kokotajlo, Daniel. Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage. Alignment Forum, August 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?. LessWrong, April 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems. Effective Altruism Forum, January 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Althaus, David. Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization. Effective Altruism Forum, April 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Oesterheld, Caspar. Complications in evaluating neglectedness. The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog, June 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Tomasik, Brian. How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism. CLR Website, June 2016.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy

Strategic considerations

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Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Kokotajlo, Daniel. Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage. Alignment Forum, August 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?. LessWrong, April 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems. Effective Altruism Forum, January 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Althaus, David. Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization. Effective Altruism Forum, April 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Oesterheld, Caspar. Complications in evaluating neglectedness. The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog, June 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Tomasik, Brian. How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism. CLR Website, June 2016.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy

Show all

Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Kokotajlo, Daniel. Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage. Alignment Forum, August 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?. LessWrong, April 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems. Effective Altruism Forum, January 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Althaus, David. Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization. Effective Altruism Forum, April 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Oesterheld, Caspar. Complications in evaluating neglectedness. The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog, June 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Tomasik, Brian. How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism. CLR Website, June 2016.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy

Decision theory

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Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy

Malevolence

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Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Kokotajlo, Daniel. Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage. Alignment Forum, August 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?. LessWrong, April 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems. Effective Altruism Forum, January 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Althaus, David. Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization. Effective Altruism Forum, April 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Oesterheld, Caspar. Complications in evaluating neglectedness. The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog, June 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Tomasik, Brian. How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism. CLR Website, June 2016.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy

Ethics & meta-ethics

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Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Kokotajlo, Daniel. Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage. Alignment Forum, August 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?. LessWrong, April 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems. Effective Altruism Forum, January 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Althaus, David. Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization. Effective Altruism Forum, April 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Oesterheld, Caspar. Complications in evaluating neglectedness. The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog, June 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Tomasik, Brian. How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism. CLR Website, June 2016.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy

Prioritization & macrostrategy

Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Kokotajlo, Daniel. Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage. Alignment Forum, August 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?. LessWrong, April 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems. Effective Altruism Forum, January 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Althaus, David. Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization. Effective Altruism Forum, April 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Oesterheld, Caspar. Complications in evaluating neglectedness. The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog, June 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Tomasik, Brian. How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism. CLR Website, June 2016.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy

Other

Show all

Baum, Seth D; Armstrong, Stuart; Ekenstedt, Timoteus; Häggström, Olle; Hanson, Robin; Kuhlemann, Karin; Maas, Matthijs M; Miller, James D; Salmela, Markus; Sandberg, Anders; Sotala, Kaj; Torres, Phil; Turchin, Alexey; Yampolskiy, Roman V. Long-term trajectories of human civilization. Foresight, 21 (1), pp. 53-83, 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Kokotajlo, Daniel. Soft takeoff can still lead to decisive strategic advantage. Alignment Forum, August 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Rebuttal of Christiano and AI Impacts on takeoff speeds?. LessWrong, April 2019.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Gloor, Lukas. Cause prioritization for downside-focused value systems. Effective Altruism Forum, January 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Althaus, David. Descriptive Population Ethics and Its Relevance for Cause Prioritization. Effective Altruism Forum, April 2018.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj. How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?. Physica Scripta, 92 (11), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Sotala, Kaj; Gloor, Lukas. Superintelligence as a Cause or Cure for Risks of Astronomical Suffering. Informatica, 41 (4), 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Oesterheld, Caspar. Complications in evaluating neglectedness. The Universe from an Intentional Stance Blog, June 2017.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy
Tomasik, Brian. How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism. CLR Website, June 2016.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Prioritization & Macrostrategy